ABAllianceBernstein Holding L.P.Financial Services · Asset Managementas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $35.50 · now $35.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AB has typically landed between $31.27 and $39.50 — a range of −11.9% to +11.3% from the issuance price $35.50.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($35.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $35.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$31.27worst · -11.9%$39.5best · +11.3%
  • now $35.5 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $35.74 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.24–$37.24
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.27–$39.5
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−57.5%−57.5%+1.4%
2020-02-21−55.1%−57.0%+0.0%
2008-09-26−54.8%−54.8%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-05+61.4%−2.3%+61.4%
2009-03-09+56.9%+0.0%+65.2%
2009-03-06+55.8%−4.5%+57.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+2.1%
n=20
Feb
50%
+1.2%
n=20
Mar
65%
+2.2%
n=20
Apr
75%
+2.5%
n=20
May
70%
+1.7%
n=20
Jun
45%
−1.7%
n=20
Jul
70%
+1.1%
n=20
Aug
50%
+1.1%
n=20
Sep
50%
−1.7%
n=20
Oct
60%
+1.5%
n=20
Nov
45%
−0.4%
n=20
Dec
50%
+0.2%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$40$342026-08-04: 1 insider sale, $186K — Stonehill Charles G.T.2026-04-30: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — BERNSTEIN SETH P2026-02-18: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — BERNSTEIN SETH P2025-08-22: 1 insider sale, $999K — BERNSTEIN SETH P2025-08-20: 1 insider sale, $19K — BERNSTEIN SETH P2025-08-19: 1 insider sale, $252K — BERNSTEIN SETH P2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $1.3M2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $186K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Stonehill Charles G.T. — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BERNSTEIN SETH P — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BERNSTEIN SETH P — Sale on 2026-02-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BERNSTEIN SETH P — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 3 days after the tradedirector BERNSTEIN SETH P — Sale on 2025-08-20, filed same daydirector BERNSTEIN SETH P — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-04Stonehill Charles G.T.directorSale5,000 @ $37.17$186K−16.9% of holding+1.8%not yet — horizon still open24,573Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-30BERNSTEIN SETH PdirectorSale29,000 @ $39.54$1.1M−12.0% of holding−10.2%not yet — horizon still open212,046Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-18BERNSTEIN SETH PdirectorSale26,840 @ $41.08$1.1M−10.0% of holding−2.8%−18.4%241,046Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22BERNSTEIN SETH PdirectorSale24,946 @ $40.05$999K−9.5% of holding−8.1%−6.9%238,510Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-20BERNSTEIN SETH PdirectorSale480 @ $40.00$19K−0.2% of holding−6.3%−4.6%263,456Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-19BERNSTEIN SETH PdirectorSale6,268 @ $40.13$252K−2.3% of holding−6.1%−2.8%263,936Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Kaye Daniel GdirectorSale4,825 @ $40.80$197K−10.8% of holding−4.2%−17.2%39,877Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05Hogbin ChristopherofficerSale6,026 @ $40.87$246K−37.6% of holding−7.7%−21.0%10,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-05Stonehill Charles G.T.directorSale5,000 @ $41.18$206K−19.3% of holding−7.7%−21.0%20,923Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-02Equitable Holdings, Inc.otherPurchase19,682,946 @ $38.50$757.8Mownership Δ n/a+6.7%−19.2%19,682,946Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-20LAMMTENNANT JOAN MdirectorAward / grant4,39724,875Form 4
2026-05-20Holley Bruce MdirectorAward / grant4,39713,642Form 4
2026-05-20Kaye Daniel GdirectorAward / grant4,39748,527Form 4
2026-05-20Narayandas DasdirectorAward / grant4,39749,318Form 4
2026-05-20Walthall TodddirectorAward / grant4,39725,277Form 4
2026-05-20Stonehill Charles G.T.directorAward / grant4,39729,573Form 4
2025-12-10BERNSTEIN SETH PdirectorAward / grant159,937597,308Form 4
2025-12-10Erzan OnurofficerAward / grant65,678275,663Form 4
2025-12-10Sprules KarlofficerAward / grant44,39394,270Form 4
2025-12-10Simeone ThomasofficerAward / grant11,55428,069Form 4
2025-12-10MANLEY MARK RofficerAward / grant11,06826,298Form 4
2025-12-10Sprules KarlofficerGift2,490129,640Form 4
2025-12-10Luckey AlexisofficerAward / grant5177,903Form 4
2025-12-01BERNSTEIN SETH PdirectorWithheld for tax65,719437,371Form 4
2025-12-01Erzan OnurofficerWithheld for tax63,943209,985Form 4
2025-12-01Sprules KarlofficerWithheld for tax43,01249,877Form 4
2025-12-01BERNSTEIN SETH PdirectorWithheld for tax29,376267,886Form 4
2025-12-01Erzan OnurofficerWithheld for tax28,58228,582Form 4
2025-12-01Sprules KarlofficerWithheld for tax28,034132,130Form 4
2025-12-01MANLEY MARK RofficerWithheld for tax6,72415,230Form 4
2025-12-01MANLEY MARK RofficerWithheld for tax5,08671,615Form 4
2025-12-01Simeone ThomasofficerWithheld for tax2,66016,515Form 4
2025-12-01Simeone ThomasofficerWithheld for tax2,01126,566Form 4
2025-09-22MANLEY MARK RofficerGift70066,529Form 4
2025-09-10Sprules KarlofficerGift2,650104,096Form 4
2025-07-10Equitable Holdings, Inc.otherOther acquisition19,682,9460Form 4
2025-05-21Narayandas DasdirectorAward / grant4,25344,921Form 4
2025-05-21Holley Bruce MdirectorAward / grant4,2539,245Form 4
2025-05-21LAMMTENNANT JOAN MdirectorAward / grant4,25320,478Form 4
2025-05-21Kaye Daniel GdirectorAward / grant4,25344,130Form 4
2025-05-21Stonehill Charles G.T.directorAward / grant4,25325,176Form 4
2025-05-21Walthall TodddirectorAward / grant4,25320,880Form 4
2025-05-06Hogbin ChristopherofficerGift10,0000Form 4
2025-04-03Erzan OnurofficerOther acquisition79,1550Form 4
2025-04-03Sprules KarlofficerOther acquisition16,500106,746Form 4
2025-04-03MANLEY MARK RofficerOther acquisition14,15867,229Form 4
2025-01-06Erzan OnurofficerAward / grant134,735273,928Form 4
2024-12-24BERNSTEIN SETH PdirectorGift13,000270,204Form 4
2024-12-20Simeone ThomasofficerAward / grant13,42019,175Form 4
2024-12-19Alpha Units Holdings, Inc.otherOther acquisition1,444,3560Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.