AAgilent Technologies, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Diagnostics & Researchas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $153.69 · now $153.69 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, A has typically landed between $135.75 and $173.83 — a range of −11.7% to +13.1% from the issuance price $153.69.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($153.69) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where A has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $153.69 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$135.75worst · -11.7%$173.83best · +13.1%
  • now $153.69 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $153.93 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $145.08–$162.78
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $135.75–$173.83
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−38.8%−38.8%+0.0%
2008-09-25−35.9%−35.9%+0.5%
2009-02-05−35.6%−35.6%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-05+31.3%−0.8%+36.7%
2011-12-28+26.6%+0.0%+29.2%
2011-12-30+26.5%+0.0%+26.5%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$39.1B
market cap
$4.98
EPS (TTM)
27.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-26
next earnings
Revenue$6.9B
'20'25
Net income$1.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.2B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr18.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr19.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.50
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $153.69$65.45$172.37
  • DCF (intrinsic)$72.82
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$136.65
  • Analyst target · range $140.00–$165.00$152.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$153.69

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+2.4%
n=18
Feb
42%
−2.7%
n=19
Mar
58%
+1.1%
n=19
Apr
47%
+1.0%
n=19
May
53%
+2.8%
n=19
Jun
42%
−0.1%
n=19
Jul
68%
+2.6%
n=19
Aug
58%
+1.5%
n=19
Sep
58%
+0.4%
n=19
Oct
44%
−0.8%
n=18
Nov
89%
+6.2%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.6%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$159$1102026-09-04: 1 insider sale, $96K — Dolsten Mikael2026-05-29: 1 insider sale, $217K — Dolsten Mikael2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $390K — Dolsten Mikael2025-11-26: 1 insider sale, $465K — Gonsalves Rodney2025-11-18: 1 insider sale, $130K — MCDONNELL PADRAIG2025-11-12: 1 insider sale, $1.9M — MCDONNELL PADRAIG2025-09-02: 1 insider sale, $250K — MCDONNELL PADRAIG2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $227K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $250K2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $2.5M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $390K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $217K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $96K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Dolsten Mikael — Sale on 2026-09-04, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Dolsten Mikael — Sale on 2026-05-29, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Dolsten Mikael — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Gonsalves Rodney — Sale on 2025-11-26, filed 5 days after the tradedirector MCDONNELL PADRAIG — Sale on 2025-11-18, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MCDONNELL PADRAIG — Sale on 2025-11-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MCDONNELL PADRAIG — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04Dolsten MikaeldirectorSale634 @ $151.38$96K−11.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open4,924Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-05-29Dolsten MikaeldirectorSale1,600 @ $135.42$217K−22.4% of holding−0.8%not yet — horizon still open5,548Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-01Dolsten MikaeldirectorSale2,600 @ $149.81$390K−34.3% of holding−9.9%−19.6%4,973Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-26Gonsalves RodneyofficerSale3,000 @ $154.99$465K−8.6% of holding−12.1%−23.8%31,846Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-18MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorSale911 @ $143.24$130K−2.8% of holding−7.3%−33.0%32,058Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-12MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorSale12,490 @ $150.00$1.9M−27.2% of holding−7.6%−34.8%33,448Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-02MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorSale2,000 @ $124.88$250K−5.6% of holding+6.2%−11.0%33,448Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-01MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorSale2,000 @ $113.45$227K−5.3% of holding+7.3%+7.2%35,448Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-01MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorSale1,508 @ $117.44$177K−3.9% of holding−7.0%+2.6%37,448Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-18Brown Judy LdirectorSale8 @ $116.53$904−0.5% of holding−8.4%+5.8%1,677Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-03-31Podolsky Daniel KdirectorSale1,819 @ $116.46$212K−4.8% of holding−7.0%−9.4%35,737Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-17Gonsalves RodneyofficerSale1,908 @ $121.98$233K−8.1% of holding−10.7%−12.8%21,786Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-06Rataj Sue H.directorSale6,971 @ $126.38$881K−26.2% of holding−6.9%−11.5%19,640Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-21MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorSale1,911 @ $150.00$287K−4.6% of holding−11.6%−27.2%39,652Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

96 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Boehnlein Glenn SdirectorAward / grant817817Form 4
2026-06-26KIRKWOOD JONAH PREVOSTofficerWithheld for tax3014,108Form 4
2026-06-03MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorWithheld for tax41865,842Form 4
2026-05-19Buckner Michael StevenofficerAward / grant8,8728,887Form 4
2026-05-08MAY SIMONofficerWithheld for tax36814,015Form 4
2026-03-31Henson MeghandirectorWithheld for tax1536,890Form 4
2026-03-19Anand MaladirectorAward / grant2,15816,705Form 4
2026-03-19Dolsten MikaeldirectorAward / grant2,1587,138Form 4
2026-03-19Podolsky Daniel KdirectorAward / grant2,15838,180Form 4
2026-03-19WILSON DOW RdirectorAward / grant2,15820,369Form 4
2026-03-19Soriot PascaldirectorAward / grant2,1583,331Form 4
2026-03-19Brown Judy LdirectorAward / grant2,1583,835Form 4
2026-03-19SCANGOS GEORGE AdirectorAward / grant2,15822,800Form 4
2026-03-19Rataj Sue H.directorAward / grant2,15823,617Form 4
2026-03-19KOH BOON HWEEdirectorAward / grant2,15863,832Form 4
2026-03-19BRAWLEY OTIS WdirectorAward / grant2,15812,986Form 4
2026-03-19SCANGOS GEORGE AdirectorAward / grant1,05723,857Form 4
2026-03-19BRAWLEY OTIS WdirectorAward / grant88813,874Form 4
2026-03-19Soriot PascaldirectorWithheld for tax6482,683Form 4
2026-03-19KOH BOON HWEEdirectorWithheld for tax64863,184Form 4
2026-02-27MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorWithheld for tax27966,260Form 4
2026-02-27KIRKWOOD JONAH PREVOSTofficerWithheld for tax12414,138Form 4
2026-02-27RIEMANN ANGELICAofficerWithheld for tax8926,535Form 4
2025-11-26MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorWithheld for tax1,94866,539Form 4
2025-11-26KIRKWOOD JONAH PREVOSTofficerWithheld for tax43014,262Form 4
2025-11-26DiMarco BretofficerWithheld for tax33212,203Form 4
2025-11-26MAY SIMONofficerWithheld for tax30014,207Form 4
2025-11-26RIEMANN ANGELICAofficerWithheld for tax28026,594Form 4
2025-11-26ZHANG JIANMIAO MIKEofficerWithheld for tax20811,639Form 4
2025-11-26Gonsalves RodneyofficerGift20031,527Form 4
2025-11-26Gonsalves RodneyofficerGift200200Form 4
2025-11-26Gonsalves RodneyofficerGift2000Form 4
2025-11-26Gonsalves RodneyofficerWithheld for tax11931,727Form 4
2025-11-21MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorWithheld for tax54168,487Form 4
2025-11-21Gonsalves RodneyofficerWithheld for tax13834,846Form 4
2025-11-21KIRKWOOD JONAH PREVOSTofficerWithheld for tax11314,692Form 4
2025-11-21RIEMANN ANGELICAofficerWithheld for tax7526,874Form 4
2025-11-21ZHANG JIANMIAO MIKEofficerWithheld for tax6711,847Form 4
2025-11-18MCDONNELL PADRAIGdirectorWithheld for tax3,47435,688Form 4
2025-11-18Gonsalves RodneyofficerWithheld for tax88332,582Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-10-032025-09-29$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-06-17$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-08-132025-07-16$1–15K
Jefferson ShreveHousesale2025-06-222025-05-12$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-06-102025-05-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-06-102025-05-28$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousepurchase2025-05-312025-05-15$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.