Issued 2026-09-27 at $2652.45 · now $2652.45 (2026-09-27, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-27 close, ETHUSD has typically landed between $1909.67 and $3586.89 — a range of −28.0% to +35.2% from the issuance price $2652.45.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,315 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-08-01 – 2026-08-28 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-27 issuance close ($2652.45) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-27, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
What is Ethereum? iThe crypto-majors record — distribution ranges only; crypto's monthly direction has not proven calibratable, so no directional probability is published.
Ethereum is a programmable blockchain: beyond transferring its native asset ETH, it runs smart contracts — code that executes automatically when its conditions are met. Since 2022 it is secured by proof-of-stake rather than mining, and ETH is used to pay transaction fees.
Reference facts about the network, as of 2026-08-11 — not a view on the asset.
Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-27 — factual context, not a signal.
Where ETH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-27 close of $2,652 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2,652 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2,635 (-0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2,308–$2,962
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1,910–$3,587
Ranges only — no directional probability for crypto.iCrypto's monthly direction has not proven calibratable in our validation harness (2026-07-25). See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2018-11-06 | −59.3% | −59.3% | +0.0% |
| 2018-11-11 | −58.6% | −58.6% | +0.0% |
| 2018-11-13 | −58.0% | −58.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2017-12-10 | +188.3% | +0.0% | +188.3% |
| 2017-12-08 | +141.3% | −3.4% | +141.3% |
| 2017-12-11 | +140.7% | +0.0% | +149.0% |
3,315 overlapping windows · 2017-08-01 – 2026-09-27 · not cherry-picked
Logged immutably 2026-09-28 06:06:24 UTC; scored 2026-10-27.
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Earnings & context analysis
These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.