Issued 2026-08-12 at $6.30 · now $6.18 (2026-08-13, −1.9% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-08-12 close, ETCUSD has typically landed between $4.47 and $8.84 — a range of −29.0% to +40.2% from the issuance price $6.30.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,269 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-08-01 – 2026-07-13 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-08-12 issuance close ($6.30) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-09-11, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
What is Ethereum Classic? iThe crypto-majors record — distribution ranges only; crypto's monthly direction has not proven calibratable, so no directional probability is published.
Ethereum Classic is a programmable, proof-of-work blockchain that continued the original Ethereum chain after a 2016 split. Its native asset is ETC. Like early Ethereum it runs smart contracts, and it is secured by mining rather than staking.
Reference facts about the network, as of 2026-08-11 — not a view on the asset.
Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-08-13 — factual context, not a signal.
Where ETC has typically landed a month from the 2026-08-12 close of $6.3 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $6.18 (-1.9%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.92 (-6.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.2–$6.63
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.47–$8.84
Ranges only — no directional probability for crypto.iCrypto's monthly direction has not proven calibratable in our validation harness (2026-07-25). See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-11 | −65.9% | −65.9% | +2.0% |
| 2018-11-06 | −65.4% | −65.4% | +0.0% |
| 2018-11-07 | −60.2% | −64.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2021-04-06 | +691.0% | +0.0% | +691.0% |
| 2021-04-08 | +551.2% | −4.2% | +619.5% |
| 2021-04-05 | +535.6% | +0.0% | +535.6% |
3,270 overlapping windows · 2017-08-01 – 2026-08-13 · not cherry-picked
Logged immutably 2026-08-13 06:06:39 UTC; scored 2026-09-11.
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Earnings & context analysis
These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. Full terms.