Issued 2026-09-27 at $83434.55 · now $83434.55 (2026-09-27, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-27 close, BTCUSD has typically landed between $66633.30 and $104495.13 — a range of −20.1% to +25.2% from the issuance price $83434.55.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
3,315 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-08-01 – 2026-08-28 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-27 issuance close ($83434.55) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-27, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
What is Bitcoin? iThe crypto-majors record — distribution ranges only; crypto's monthly direction has not proven calibratable, so no directional probability is published.
Bitcoin is a decentralized network that records transfers of its native asset, BTC, on a public blockchain secured by proof-of-work mining. Its protocol caps the total supply at 21 million coins. It was the first cryptocurrency, launched in 2009.
Reference facts about the network, as of 2026-08-11 — not a view on the asset.
Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-27 — factual context, not a signal.
Where BTC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-27 close of $83,435 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $83,435 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $83,973 (+0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $76,298–$91,648
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $66,633–$104,495
Ranges only — no directional probability for crypto.iCrypto's monthly direction has not proven calibratable in our validation harness (2026-07-25). See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2018-01-06 | −59.6% | −59.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-11 | −52.7% | −52.7% | +1.0% |
| 2018-01-07 | −52.5% | −57.3% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2017-11-12 | +201.2% | +0.0% | +201.2% |
| 2017-11-11 | +166.1% | −7.3% | +174.0% |
| 2017-11-13 | +155.4% | +0.0% | +171.3% |
3,315 overlapping windows · 2017-08-01 – 2026-09-27 · not cherry-picked
Logged immutably 2026-09-28 06:06:27 UTC; scored 2026-10-27.
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Earnings & context analysis
These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.